Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 1-0 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2015 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Neftchi Baku won 1-0 on November 29, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 65′R. HacıyevNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2015 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Rəvan(home) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 2, 2015 | Sumqayıt(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 28, 2015 | İnter Bakı(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 23, 2015 | Şüvəlan(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2015 | Tottenham(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 21, 2015 | Kapaz(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 5, 2015 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Şüvəlan(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi Baku win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2015 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Jun 3, 2015 | Qarabag 3-1 Neftchi Baku | Cup |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Qarabag 3-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 19, 2015 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Qarabag 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Neftchi Baku 1-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Sep 26, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy