Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 1-4 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2014 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 1-4 on February 28, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 23′L. GeorgeQarabag
- 31′Reynaldo dos Santos SilvaQarabag
- 68′Reynaldo dos Santos SilvaQarabag
- 83′M. SeyidovNeftchi Baku
- 87′Reynaldo dos Santos SilvaQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2014 | Sumqayıt(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 19, 2014 | İnter Bakı(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 15, 2014 | Bakı(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 9, 2014 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 2, 2014 | Simurq(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2014 | Simurq(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 19, 2014 | Rəvan(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 15, 2014 | Şüvəlan(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 8, 2014 | Qabala(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Khazar Lankaran(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | Qarabag 3-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Neftchi Baku 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 4, 2013 | Qarabag 1-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 6, 2013 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 2, 2012 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Qarabag 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Dec 8, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.5 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy