Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 0-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 2, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 0-1 on December 2, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 12′Vüqar NadirovQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Qarabag have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2012 | Bakı(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Sumqayıt(home) | 8-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Qabala(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 31, 2012 | Simurq(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Rəvan(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | Turan(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 18, 2012 | Simurq(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Şüvəlan(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 31, 2012 | Qabala(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2012 | Qarabag 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2012 | Neftchi Baku 2-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Qarabag 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Qarabag 1-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Neftchi Baku 3-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Aug 11, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy