Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaChampionship Round - 8Kick-off on April 29, 2012 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Neftchi Baku won 2-1 on April 29, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2012 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 14, 2012 | İnter Bakı(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 8, 2012 | Bakı(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Qarabag(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Khazar Lankaran(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2012 | Bakı(home) | 2-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Qabala(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 7, 2012 | İnter Bakı(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Bakı(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | Qarabag 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Qarabag 1-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Neftchi Baku 3-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Apr 1, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy