Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 3-2 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 25, 2011 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Neftchi Baku won 3-2 on October 25, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 4′Ə. İsmayılovQarabag
- 24′Ə. İsmayılovQarabag
- 27′Räşad AbdullayevNeftchi Baku
- 67′Admir TeliNeftchi Baku (o.g.)
- 72′114444Neftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Qarabag have 5, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | Kapaz(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 16, 2011 | İnter Bakı(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 30, 2011 | Simurq(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 23, 2011 | Bakı(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Qabala(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2011 | Simurq(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Rəvan(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 30, 2011 | Turan(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Şüvəlan(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Khazar Lankaran(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 11; Qarabag score 1.2 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/11 | 4/11 |
| Qarabag | 1.2 | 0.7 | 3 | 4/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy