Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 0-4 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 2, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 0-4 on December 2, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 37′KadyQarabag
- 60′A. ZoubirQarabag
- 67′R. ŞeydayevQarabag
- 83′KadyQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Qarabag have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | Səbail(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Qabala(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Sumqayıt(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Zira(away) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | Zira(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Kapaz(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 3, 2022 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Neftchi Baku win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Qarabag 3-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 21, 2022 | Qarabag 4-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 7, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Qarabag 4-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 19, 2021 | Neftchi Baku 1-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Oct 1, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy