Neftchi vs Surkhon: result 2-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 2, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
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What was the result of Neftchi vs Surkhon?
Neftchi won 2-1 on November 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 21′Z. MarušićNeftchi
- 58′Z. MarušićNeftchi
- 71′B. KarimovSurkhon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Surkhon have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Shortan(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Olmaliq(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Andijan(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Sogdiana(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Dinamo Samarqand(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | Andijan(home) | 4-0 | Super League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Sogdiana(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Dinamo Samarqand(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Pakhtakor(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Mash'al(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Neftchi win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Surkhon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2025 | Surkhon 0-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Surkhon 0-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Neftchi 1-1 Surkhon | Super League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Neftchi 1-1 Surkhon | Super League |
| May 7, 2023 | Surkhon 2-2 Neftchi | Super League |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Neftchi 3-0 Surkhon | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Surkhon score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Surkhon | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (28 points from 11 matches) and Surkhon sit 12th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Neftchi | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 45 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Surkhon | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy