Neftochimic Burgas vs Dimitrovgrad: prediction and stats
Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Efbet Arena, Burgas
The Footlab AI model makes Neftochimic Burgas the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Dimitrovgrad. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,124 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neftochimic Burgas vs Dimitrovgrad?
Neftochimic Burgas starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,561 vs 1,409).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Neftochimic Burgas vs Dimitrovgrad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Neftochimic Burgas
4-3-3- MM. Kamenov
- KKaloyan Tihomirov Stefanov
- MM. Mechkov
- KKentin Olive
- DDaniel Ivanov Ivanov
- VViktor Vasilev Kunev
- DD. Slavov
- DDelyan Ivanov
- KK. da Costa
- DDaniel Georgiev
- PPetar Petrov Rahnev
Dimitrovgrad
Not enough data to predict the Dimitrovgrad lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftochimic Burgas have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dimitrovgrad have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Levski Karlovo(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Maritsa Plovdiv(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rodopa Smolyan(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Sayana Haskovo(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Atletik Kuklen(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gigant Saedinenie(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Levski Karlovo(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rodopa Smolyan(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Neftochimic Burgas wins, 0 draws, 0 Dimitrovgrad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Neftochimic Burgas 2-0 Dimitrovgrad | Third League - Southeast |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dimitrovgrad 0-2 Neftochimic Burgas | Third League - Southeast |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Dimitrovgrad 0-3 Neftochimic Burgas | Third League - Southeast |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Neftochimic Burgas 3-1 Dimitrovgrad | Third League - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Neftochimic Burgas vs Dimitrovgrad on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neftochimic Burgas score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dimitrovgrad score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftochimic Burgas | 1.7 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dimitrovgrad | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftochimic Burgas sit 4th in Third League - Southeast (27 points from 14 matches) and Dimitrovgrad sit 9th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Neftochimic Burgas | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 27 |
| 9 | Dimitrovgrad | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Neftochimic Burgas vs Dimitrovgrad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neftochimic Burgas vs Dimitrovgrad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Neftochimic Burgas the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Dimitrovgrad.
- Where and when is Neftochimic Burgas vs Dimitrovgrad played?
- Neftochimic Burgas vs Dimitrovgrad is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Third League - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SozopolvsSayana Haskovo
- Nov 14, 2026Atletik KuklenvsGigant Saedinenie
- Nov 14, 2026ZagoretsvsYambol 1915
- Nov 14, 2026Maritsa MilevovsSpartak Plovdiv
- Nov 14, 2026Levski KrumovgradvsMaritsa Plovdiv
- Nov 14, 2026Sekirovo RakovskivsRodopa Smolyan
- Nov 15, 2026Botev Plovdiv IIvsLevski Karlovo
- Nov 15, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIvsRozova dolina