Nepal vs Afghanistan: result 0-1 and analysis
SAFF ChampionshipSemi-finalsKick-off on September 8, 2013 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Dashrath Rangasala, Kathmandu
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What was the result of Nepal vs Afghanistan?
Afghanistan won 0-1 on September 8, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 11′166492Afghanistan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Nepal have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Afghanistan have 4, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2013 | India(away) | 2-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 3, 2013 | Pakistan(away) | 1-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Bangladesh(home) | 2-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Mar 6, 2013 | Palestine(home) | 0-0 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Mar 4, 2013 | Bangladesh(away) | 0-2 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2013 | Maldives(home) | 0-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 4, 2013 | Sri Lanka(away) | 3-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 2, 2013 | Bhutan(home) | 3-0 | SAFF Championship |
| Mar 6, 2013 | Laos(away) | 1-1 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Mar 4, 2013 | Mongolia(away) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Nepal score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 6; Afghanistan score 1.5 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nepal | 1.8 | 0.7 | 3 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| Afghanistan | 1.5 | 0.3 | 4 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy