Nepal vs Sri Lanka: result 0-1 and analysis
SAFF ChampionshipGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on December 23, 2015 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dashrath Rangasala, Kathmandu
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What was the result of Nepal vs Sri Lanka?
Sri Lanka won 0-1 on December 23, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 90′Mohamed Cassim Mohamed RifnasSri Lanka
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Nepal have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sri Lanka have 2, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | India(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 12, 2015 | India(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 8, 2013 | Afghanistan(home) | 0-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 5, 2013 | India(away) | 2-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 3, 2013 | Pakistan(away) | 1-1 | SAFF Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | Bhutan(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 12, 2015 | Bhutan(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 6, 2013 | Bhutan(home) | 5-2 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 4, 2013 | Afghanistan(home) | 1-3 | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 2, 2013 | Maldives(away) | 0-10 | SAFF Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Nepal score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 9; Sri Lanka score 1.5 and concede 2.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nepal | 1.2 | 0.8 | 4 | 2/9 | 2/9 |
| Sri Lanka | 1.5 | 2.9 | 1 | 4/8 | 6/8 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy