Match

Nera Bogodinţi vs Timişul Şag: prediction and stats

Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Nera BogodinţiTimişul Şag

The Footlab model makes Nera Bogodinţi the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Timişul Şag. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nera Bogodinţi vs Timişul Şag?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Nera Bogodinţi (1,372) and Timişul Şag (1,434).

Nera Bogodinţi win46 %
Draw24 %
Timişul Şag win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Nera Bogodinţi have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Timişul Şag have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nera Bogodinţi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 9, 2022Gloria al Oraşului Geoag(away)0-13Cupa României
Jul 6, 2022Turceni(home)0-4Cupa României
Timişul Şag
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026CSM Reşiţa(home)1-3Cupa României
Aug 5, 2026Unirea Sântana(home)3-2Cupa României
Jul 29, 2026Progresul Pecica(home)1-0Cupa României
May 16, 2026Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(home)4-3Liga III - Serie 7
May 9, 2026Unirea Sântana(away)0-4Liga III - Serie 7

How many goals should we expect?

Nera Bogodinţi score 0.0 and concede 8.5 goals per match over their last 2; Timişul Şag score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nera Bogodinţi0.08.500/22/2
Timişul Şag1.71.759/1510/15

Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Timişul Şag641110934

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nera Bogodinţi vs Timişul Şag?
The Footlab model makes Nera Bogodinţi the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Timişul Şag.
Where and when is Nera Bogodinţi vs Timişul Şag played?
Nera Bogodinţi vs Timişul Şag is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nera Bogodinţi and Timişul Şag

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