NEROCA vs Mohun Bagan: result 2-1 and analysis
I-LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 28, 2018 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Khuman Lampak Main Stadium, Imphal
Full time
What was the result of NEROCA vs Mohun Bagan?
NEROCA won 2-1 on December 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 24′Eduardo Soares FerreiraNEROCA
- 63′H. KisekkaMohun Bagan
- 69′Aryn Glen WilliamsNEROCA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, NEROCA have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Mohun Bagan have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2018 | Minerva Punjab(home) | 0-0 | I-League |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Churchill Brothers(home) | 2-1 | I-League |
| Dec 7, 2018 | Indian Arrows(home) | 3-0 | I-League |
| Dec 2, 2018 | Shillong Lajong(away) | 2-1 | I-League |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Chennai City(away) | 1-2 | I-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2018 | Shillong Lajong(home) | 2-0 | I-League |
| Dec 19, 2018 | Minerva Punjab(away) | 1-0 | I-League |
| Dec 16, 2018 | East Bengal(away) | 2-3 | I-League |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Chennai City(home) | 1-1 | I-League |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Churchill Brothers(home) | 0-3 | I-League |
How many goals should we expect?
NEROCA score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 11; Mohun Bagan score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEROCA | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/11 | 6/11 |
| Mohun Bagan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy