Netherlands vs Ecuador: result 1-1 and analysis
World CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 25, 2022 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan (Ar-Rayyan)
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What was the result of Netherlands vs Ecuador?
Netherlands and Ecuador drew 1-1 on November 25, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 6′C. GakpoNetherlands
- 49′E. ValenciaEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Ecuador have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | Senegal(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Belgium(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Poland(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 14, 2022 | Wales(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Poland(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Qatar(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Iraq(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Japan(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Mali(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Netherlands score 2.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.0 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.0 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Netherlands sit 3rd in World Cup (1 points from 1 matches) and Ecuador sit 3rd (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Netherlands | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy