New Caledonia vs Vanuatu: result 1-0 and analysis
Pacific GamesSemi-finalsKick-off on November 28, 2023 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Lawson Tama Stadium, Honiara
Full time
What was the result of New Caledonia vs Vanuatu?
New Caledonia won 1-0 on November 28, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New Caledonia have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Vanuatu have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | Cook Islands(away) | 8-0 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Tonga(home) | 7-0 | Pacific Games |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Solomon Islands(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Papua New Guinea(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Vanuatu(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2023 | Papua New Guinea(home) | 1-1 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Tuvalu(away) | 6-0 | Pacific Games |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Papua New Guinea(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Solomon Islands(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2023 | New Caledonia(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 New Caledonia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vanuatu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | New Caledonia 4-0 Vanuatu | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Vanuatu 2-2 New Caledonia | Friendlies |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Vanuatu 2-1 New Caledonia | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: New Caledonia vs Vanuatu on Oct 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
New Caledonia score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vanuatu score 2.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Caledonia | 3.0 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Vanuatu | 2.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy