New Zealand vs New Caledonia: prediction and stats
OFC Nations CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on June 15, 2024 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Eden Park, Auckland
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New Zealand have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; New Caledonia have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | Tunisia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Egypt(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Greece(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Australia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | Solomon Islands(home) | 2-2 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Vanuatu(home) | 1-0 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Cook Islands(away) | 8-0 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Tonga(home) | 7-0 | Pacific Games |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Solomon Islands(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 New Zealand win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 New Caledonia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | New Zealand 7-1 New Caledonia | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Jul 19, 2019 | New Zealand 2-1 New Caledonia | Pacific Games |
| Nov 15, 2016 | New Caledonia 0-0 New Zealand | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Nov 12, 2016 | New Zealand 2-0 New Caledonia | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Jun 8, 2016 | New Zealand 1-0 New Caledonia | OFC Nations Cup |
Last archived meeting: New Zealand vs New Caledonia on Mar 24, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
New Zealand score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; New Caledonia score 3.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| New Caledonia | 3.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy