New Zealand vs New Caledonia: result 1-0 and analysis
OFC Nations CupSemi-finalsKick-off on June 8, 2016 at 06:10 AM (UTC)Sir John Guise Stadium, Port Moresby
Full time
What was the result of New Zealand vs New Caledonia?
New Zealand won 1-0 on June 8, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 49′C. WoodNew Zealand
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, New Zealand have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; New Caledonia have 1, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2016 | Solomon Islands(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| May 31, 2016 | Vanuatu(away) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| May 28, 2016 | Fiji(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Nov 20, 2013 | Mexico(home) | 2-4 | World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs |
| Nov 13, 2013 | Mexico(away) | 1-5 | World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2016 | Tahiti(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Jun 1, 2016 | Samoa(home) | 7-0 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| May 29, 2016 | Papua New Guinea(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
How many goals should we expect?
New Zealand score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 11; New Caledonia score 3.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/11 | 5/11 |
| New Caledonia | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1 | 2/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy