New Zealand vs Samoa: result 5-1 and analysis
Pacific GamesGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on July 10, 2019 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Eden Park, Auckland
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What was the result of New Zealand vs Samoa?
New Zealand won 5-1 on July 10, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New Zealand have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Samoa have 2, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2019 | Tonga(away) | 13-0 | Pacific Games |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Canada(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2017 | Peru(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Peru(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs |
| Oct 6, 2017 | Japan(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2019 | Papua New Guinea(home) | 0-6 | Pacific Games |
| Jun 5, 2016 | Papua New Guinea(home) | 0-8 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Jun 1, 2016 | New Caledonia(away) | 0-7 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| May 29, 2016 | Tahiti(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Sep 4, 2015 | Tonga(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
How many goals should we expect?
New Zealand score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Samoa score 0.9 and concede 4.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Samoa | 0.9 | 4.0 | 1 | 1/7 | 6/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy