Newcastle United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest U21 the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Newcastle United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?
Nottingham Forest U21 starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle United U21 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nottingham Forest U21 have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 3-5 | National League Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Swansea City U21(away) | 0-2 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Manchester United U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-5 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luton Town U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| May 11, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | Professional Development League |
| May 4, 2026 | Peterborough United U21(away) | 1-0 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newcastle United U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nottingham Forest U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21 3-0 Newcastle United U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Nottingham Forest U21 2-3 Newcastle United U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Nottingham Forest U21 1-2 Newcastle United U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Newcastle United U21 0-3 Nottingham Forest U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Newcastle United U21 1-1 Nottingham Forest U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Nottingham Forest U21 3-1 Newcastle United U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest U21 vs Newcastle United U21 on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle United U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United U21 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nottingham Forest U21 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?
- The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest U21 the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Newcastle United U21.
- Where and when is Newcastle United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 played?
- Newcastle United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21