Match

Newcastle United U21 vs Peterborough United U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)

Newcastle United U21Peterborough United U21

The Footlab model makes Newcastle United U21 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Peterborough United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newcastle United U21 vs Peterborough United U21?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Newcastle United U21 (1,716) and Peterborough United U21 (1,754).

Newcastle United U21 win41 %
Draw23 %
Peterborough United U21 win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle United U21 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Peterborough United U21 have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newcastle United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Tamworth(away)3-5National League Cup
Apr 27, 2026Swansea City U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026Wolves U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Manchester United U21(away)3-1Premier League 2 Division One
Peterborough United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Swansea City U21(away)3-2Professional Development League
Aug 18, 2026Queens Park Rangers U21(home)2-0Professional Development League
May 4, 2026Nottingham Forest U21(home)0-1Professional Development League
Apr 27, 2026Stoke City U21(away)3-1Professional Development League
Apr 14, 2026Brentford U21(home)1-1Professional Development League

How many goals should we expect?

Newcastle United U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough United U21 score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Newcastle United U211.52.028/159/15
Peterborough United U212.01.9113/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newcastle United U21 vs Peterborough United U21?
The Footlab model makes Newcastle United U21 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Peterborough United U21.
Where and when is Newcastle United U21 vs Peterborough United U21 played?
Newcastle United U21 vs Peterborough United U21 is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Newcastle United U21 and Peterborough United U21

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