Newcastle United W vs Durham W: prediction and stats
Women's ChampionshipMatchday 16Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle United W the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for Durham W. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,699 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle United W vs Durham W?
Newcastle United W starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (2,030 vs 1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle United W vs Durham W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle United W
4-3-3- 17M. Thomas
- 26B. Lumsden
- 9K. McGovern
- 4J. Nobbs
- 19K. Bradley
- 27R. McLauchlan
- 22L. Joel
- 23G. Evans
- 15H. Németh
- 25A. Mannion
- 12K. Rendell
Durham W
4-3-3- 10G. Ede
- 11J. Pennock
- 9L. Watson
- 24E. Morran
- 23R. Lowe
- 7B. Hepple
- 5S. Wilson
- 3L. Briggs
- 2G. Ayre
- 4M. McComasky
- 13A. King
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle United W have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Durham W have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Burnley W(home) | 3-0 | Women's Championship |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Durham W(away) | 5-1 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Nottingham Forest W(away) | 2-2 | Women's Championship |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Everton W(away) | 0-2 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sunderland W(home) | 0-1 | WSL Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Everton W(away) | 0-6 | WSL Cup |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sunderland W(home) | 1-4 | Women's Championship |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Newcastle United W(home) | 1-5 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Watford W(away) | 2-4 | Women's Championship |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Birmingham City W(home) | 0-5 | WSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newcastle United W wins, 1 draw, 3 Durham W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Durham W 1-5 Newcastle United W | WSL Cup |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Durham W 0-3 Newcastle United W | Women's Championship |
| May 2, 2026 | Newcastle United W 0-1 Durham W | Women's Championship |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Durham W 1-1 Newcastle United W | Women's Championship |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Durham W 3-1 Newcastle United W | Women's Championship |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Newcastle United W 0-1 Durham W | Women's Championship |
Last archived meeting: Durham W vs Newcastle United W on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle United W score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Durham W score 1.1 and concede 3.4. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United W | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Durham W | 1.1 | 3.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle United W sit 1st in Women's Championship (19 points from 7 matches) and Durham W sit 12th (0 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Durham W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
A question about Newcastle United W vs Durham W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle United W vs Durham W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle United W the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for Durham W.
- Where and when is Newcastle United W vs Durham W played?
- Newcastle United W vs Durham W is played on March 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gateshead International Stadium, in the Women's Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.