Newport County vs Crewe: result 1-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 20, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
Full time
What was the result of Newport County vs Crewe?
Newport County and Crewe drew 1-1 on August 20, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 16′Alex KiwomyaCrewe
- 81′Sean RiggNewport County
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Crewe have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2016 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| May 7, 2016 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2016 | Hartlepool(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Stevenage(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| May 8, 2016 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-2 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Crewe | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 11th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Crewe sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy