Newport County vs Undy Athletic: prediction and stats
League CupGroup StageKick-off on December 11, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Undy Athletic have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2020 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 1, 2020 | Forest Green(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Salford City(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 24, 2020 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 11, 2020 | Taffs Well(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Cwmamman United FC(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Swansea University(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Undy Athletic score 1.5 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Undy Athletic | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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