Newry City AFC vs Lisburn Distillery: prediction and stats
Premier Intermediate LeagueMatchday 4Kick-off on October 3, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Newry
Match postponed, new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newry City AFC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lisburn Distillery have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Knockbreda(away) | 0-2 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Ballymacash Rangers(home) | 2-1 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Knockbreda(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Institute(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Portstewart(home) | 0-1 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Knockbreda(away) | 2-2 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Banbridge Town(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Portadown(home) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2025 | Coagh United(home) | 4-2 | Premier Intermediate League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newry City AFC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lisburn Distillery score 1.8 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City AFC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Lisburn Distillery | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy