Newton Stewart vs Kilwinning Rangers: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blairmount Park, Newton Stewart
The Footlab model makes Kilwinning Rangers the favourite at 74%, against 14% for a draw and 13% for Newton Stewart. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newton Stewart vs Kilwinning Rangers?
Kilwinning Rangers starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,646 vs 1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Newton Stewart have 1 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Kilwinning Rangers have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 0-9 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Glasgow University(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Largs Thistle(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beith(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 12; Kilwinning Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Stewart | 0.8 | 3.7 | 1 | 6/12 | 11/12 |
| Kilwinning Rangers | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newton Stewart sit 32nd in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 4 matches) and Kilwinning Rangers sit 2nd (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kilwinning Rangers | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 15 |
| 32 | Newton Stewart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newton Stewart vs Kilwinning Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Kilwinning Rangers the favourite at 74%, against 14% for a draw and 13% for Newton Stewart.
- Where and when is Newton Stewart vs Kilwinning Rangers played?
- Newton Stewart vs Kilwinning Rangers is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blairmount Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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