Nitra vs MŠK Senec: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 30Kick-off on June 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Štadión pod Zoborom, Nitra
The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for MŠK Senec. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nitra vs MŠK Senec?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Nitra (1,483) and MŠK Senec (1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nitra have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; MŠK Senec have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Myjava(away) | 5-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dolné Krškany(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Púchov(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Malacky(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Rača(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Nitra score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; MŠK Senec score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nitra | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| MŠK Senec | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nitra vs MŠK Senec?
- The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for MŠK Senec.
- Where and when is Nitra vs MŠK Senec played?
- Nitra vs MŠK Senec is played on June 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión pod Zoborom, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.