Nitra vs Rača: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Štadión pod Zoborom, Nitra
The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Rača. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nitra vs Rača?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Nitra (1,483) and Rača (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nitra have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Rača have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Myjava(away) | 5-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dolné Krškany(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Púchov(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beluša(away) | 2-4 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bernolákovo(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nové Zámky(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Nitra score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rača score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nitra | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Rača | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rača | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nitra vs Rača?
- The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Rača.
- Where and when is Nitra vs Rača played?
- Nitra vs Rača is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión pod Zoborom, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.