Match

NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961: prediction and stats

HNLMatchday 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin

NK VarazdinIstra 1961

The Footlab AI model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Istra 1961. The most likely score is 1-1. If NK Varazdin wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate NK Varazdin (1,898) and Istra 1961 (1,885).

47%27%26%
NK Varazdin winDrawIstra 1961 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

NK Varazdin

4-2-3-1
  1. 21I. Posavec
  1. 10A. Latković
  2. 22L. Mamić
  3. 38Iuri Tavares
  4. 28I. Canjuga
  5. 8T. Duvnjak
  1. 23F. Maglica
  2. 14R. Punčec
  3. 13M. Mladenovski
  4. 5Sven Lesjak
  1. 33J. Silić

Istra 1961

4-2-3-1
  1. 94H. Jaganjac
  1. 25G. Albarracín
  2. 22E. Frederiksen
  3. 20D. Ahmeti
  4. 5D. Hodzic
  5. 30N. Skafar Zuzic
  1. 44R. Hrvatin
  2. 13Niko Šepić
  3. 3M. Nasraoui
  4. 4R. Kumar
  1. 1F. Kolić

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Varazdin have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Istra 1961 have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

NK Varazdin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Dinamo Zagreb(home)1-3HNL
Nov 1, 2026HNK Rijeka(away)1-1HNL
Oct 28, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home)1-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(home)1-2HNL
Oct 18, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)0-1HNL
Istra 1961
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026HNK Rijeka(home)3-1HNL
Nov 3, 2026Neretva Metković(home)3-0Cup
Oct 30, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(away)2-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(home)2-2HNL
Oct 17, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away)0-2HNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 NK Varazdin win, 2 draws, 3 Istra 1961 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 4, 2026NK Varazdin 0-0 Istra 1961HNL
May 23, 2026NK Varazdin 2-0 Istra 1961HNL
Mar 20, 2026Istra 1961 2-1 NK VarazdinHNL
Dec 19, 2025NK Varazdin 1-3 Istra 1961HNL
Oct 3, 2025Istra 1961 1-0 NK VarazdinHNL
May 11, 2025Istra 1961 0-0 NK VarazdinHNL

Last archived meeting: NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 on Sep 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

NK Varazdin score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Istra 1961 score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
NK Varazdin1.51.068/157/15
Istra 19612.11.358/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

NK Varazdin sit 5th in HNL (19 points from 13 matches) and Istra 1961 sit 4th (19 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Istra 196113544241919
5NK Varazdin13544171419

A question about NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
The Footlab AI model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Istra 1961.
Where and when is NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 played?
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, in the HNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: NK Varazdin and Istra 1961