Noblejas vs Villarrobledo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 · Matchday 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Villarrobledo the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Noblejas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarrobledo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noblejas vs Villarrobledo?
Villarrobledo starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noblejas vs Villarrobledo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noblejas
Not enough data to predict the Noblejas lineup.
Villarrobledo
Not enough data to predict the Villarrobledo lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 08:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noblejas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Villarrobledo have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrijos(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | San Clemente(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Almansa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Manchego(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villacañas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Noblejas wins, 0 draws, 3 Villarrobledo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villarrobledo 2-0 Noblejas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Noblejas 1-2 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Villarrobledo 1-0 Noblejas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Villarrobledo vs Noblejas on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Noblejas score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villarrobledo score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noblejas | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Villarrobledo | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noblejas sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (14 points from 10 matches) and Villarrobledo sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarrobledo | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Noblejas | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
A question about Noblejas vs Villarrobledo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noblejas vs Villarrobledo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarrobledo the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Noblejas.
- Where and when is Noblejas vs Villarrobledo played?
- Noblejas vs Villarrobledo is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.