Nõmme United vs Tartu Welco: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 21, 2021 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nõmme United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Tartu Welco have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2021 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Elva(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Vaprus(away) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Luunja(away) | 5-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 5, 2020 | Maardu(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | Flora II(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 29, 2020 | Kuressaare(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2020 | Flora III(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 31, 2019 | K-Järve JK Järve(home) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Nõmme United score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 1.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 1.1 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy