Match

Nordhorn vs Verden 04: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

NordhornVerden 04

The Footlab model makes Nordhorn the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Verden 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nordhorn vs Verden 04?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Nordhorn (1,746) and Verden 04 (1,732).

Nordhorn win44 %
Draw25 %
Verden 04 win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Nordhorn have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Verden 04 have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nordhorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026BW Lohne(home)0-3Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 15, 2026Borussia Hildesheim(away)2-0Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 9, 2026Drochtersen/Assel II(home)2-0Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Jul 24, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)0-7Friendlies Clubs
Verden 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Drochtersen/Assel II(home)2-1Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 16, 2026Hemmingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Aug 9, 2026Vorsfelde(away)0-1Oberliga - Niedersachsen
Jul 18, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-6Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Germania Egestorf(away)0-2Oberliga - Niedersachsen

How many goals should we expect?

Nordhorn score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 4; Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nordhorn1.02.520/42/4
Verden 041.41.438/158/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nordhorn sit 5th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (6 points from 3 matches) and Verden 04 sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Nordhorn3201436
8Verden 043111444

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nordhorn vs Verden 04?
The Footlab model makes Nordhorn the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Verden 04.
Where and when is Nordhorn vs Verden 04 played?
Nordhorn vs Verden 04 is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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