Match

Normannia Gmünd vs Backnang: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 6Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Jahnstadion, Schwäbisch Gmünd

Normannia GmündBacknang

The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Normannia Gmünd. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Normannia Gmünd vs Backnang?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Normannia Gmünd (1,688) and Backnang (1,768).

Normannia Gmünd win28 %
Draw22 %
Backnang win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Normannia Gmünd have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Backnang have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Normannia Gmünd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC 08 Villingen(home)0-5Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 14, 2026FC Nöttingen(away)0-2Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 2026Teningen(home)2-3Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Jul 18, 2026Stuttgart II(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026FV Ravensburg(home)1-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Backnang
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026FC Nöttingen(home)2-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 15, 2026Teningen(away)4-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 20261. FC Muhlhausen(home)5-0Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
May 30, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-4Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
May 23, 2026Göppinger SV(home)1-0Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Normannia Gmünd win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Backnang win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Normannia Gmünd 1-2 BacknangOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Nov 1, 2025Backnang 2-1 Normannia GmündOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
May 10, 2025Normannia Gmünd 1-2 BacknangOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Oct 26, 2024Backnang 1-2 Normannia GmündOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Mar 23, 2024Normannia Gmünd 0-0 BacknangOberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Sep 9, 2023Backnang 1-1 Normannia GmündOberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last archived meeting: Normannia Gmünd vs Backnang on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Normannia Gmünd score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Normannia Gmünd1.71.9210/1511/15
Backnang1.81.5310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Normannia Gmünd sit 18th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (0 points from 3 matches) and Backnang sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Backnang33001129
18Normannia Gmünd30032100

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Normannia Gmünd vs Backnang?
The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Normannia Gmünd.
Where and when is Normannia Gmünd vs Backnang played?
Normannia Gmünd vs Backnang is played on September 9, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Jahnstadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Normannia Gmünd and Backnang

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