Normannia Gmünd vs Essingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jahnstadion, Schwäbisch Gmünd
The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Normannia Gmünd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Normannia Gmünd vs Essingen?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Normannia Gmünd (1,688) and Essingen (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Normannia Gmünd have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Essingen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC 08 Villingen(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teningen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | FV Ravensburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Türkspor Neckarsulm(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Young Boys Reutlingen(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Normannia Gmünd win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Essingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd 1-1 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Essingen 2-1 Normannia Gmünd | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 3, 2025 | Essingen 3-0 Normannia Gmünd | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Normannia Gmünd 2-3 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Normannia Gmünd 0-1 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Essingen 1-1 Normannia Gmünd | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: Normannia Gmünd vs Essingen on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Normannia Gmünd score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normannia Gmünd | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Essingen | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Normannia Gmünd sit 18th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (0 points from 3 matches) and Essingen sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Essingen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 | Normannia Gmünd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Normannia Gmünd vs Essingen?
- The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Normannia Gmünd.
- Where and when is Normannia Gmünd vs Essingen played?
- Normannia Gmünd vs Essingen is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jahnstadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BacknangvsYoung Boys Reutlingen
- Oct 17, 2026FC 08 VillingenvsFV Ravensburg
- Oct 17, 2026OberachernvsTSV Singen
- Oct 17, 2026ReutlingenvsTürkspor Neckarsulm
- Oct 17, 2026FC HolzhausenvsBahlinger SC
- Oct 17, 2026TeningenvsKarlsruhe II
- Oct 17, 2026FC NöttingenvsCFR Pforzheim
- Oct 18, 20261. FC MuhlhausenvsBalingen