Noroeste vs Comercial: result 1-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 5Kick-off on January 31, 2024 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Comercial?
Noroeste and Comercial drew 1-1 on January 31, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 6′CarlãoNoroeste
- 89′Júnior SergipanoComercial
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Comercial have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Linense(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Rio Claro(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Capivariano(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | São José EC(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | Ferroviária(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Rio Claro(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Capivariano(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Noroeste(away) | 0-3 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Noroeste win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Noroeste 3-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Comercial 1-3 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Comercial 0-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Noroeste 1-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Comercial 3-3 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| May 21, 2022 | Comercial 2-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Comercial | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy