Noroeste vs Comercial: result 1-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 5Kick-off on January 31, 2024 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Comercial?
Noroeste and Comercial drew 1-1 on January 31, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 6′CarlãoNoroeste
- 89′Júnior SergipanoComercial
Official lineup for Noroeste vs Comercial
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Noroeste
- CCarlão
- TThiago
- MMatheus Blade
- IIsael
- LLuizão
- DDiego Maia
- LLucas Balardin
- PPH
- MMaycon
- JJonatas
- RReynaldo
Comercial
- FFidel
- LLuís Felipe
- CClaudemir
- AAlan
- MMateus Nascimento
- WWillyam
- GGabriel Hilario
- IIgor Miranda
- JJúnior Sergipano
- DDênis Santana Santos
- AAllan Thiago
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Comercial have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Linense(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Rio Claro(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Capivariano(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | São José EC(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | Ferroviária(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Rio Claro(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Capivariano(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Noroeste(away) | 0-3 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Noroeste wins, 2 draws, 0 Comercial wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Noroeste 3-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Comercial 1-3 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Comercial 0-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Noroeste 1-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Comercial 3-3 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| May 21, 2022 | Comercial 2-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Comercial | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Noroeste vs Comercial?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy