Noroeste vs Comercial: result 2-1 and analysis
Paulista - A31st Phase - 5Kick-off on February 12, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Comercial?
Noroeste won 2-1 on February 12, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 9′LelecoNoroeste
- 44′Wendel AlexComercial (pen.)
- 68′LelecoNoroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Comercial have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | Votuporanguense(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Olímpia(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Bandeirante SP(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | Marília(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Nacional SP(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Sertãozinho(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Votuporanguense(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Noroeste win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | Comercial 0-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Noroeste 2-3 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Comercial vs Noroeste on Mar 13, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Comercial | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Comercial | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy