Noroeste vs Comercial: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 10Kick-off on September 3, 2022 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Comercial?
Noroeste won 1-0 on September 3, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 90′ThiagoNoroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Comercial have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2022 | Sertãozinho(away) | 3-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Marília(away) | 2-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Comercial(away) | 3-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Sertãozinho(home) | 1-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 1-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Marília(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Sertãozinho(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Noroeste(home) | 3-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 26, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Noroeste win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2022 | Comercial 3-3 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| May 21, 2022 | Comercial 2-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| May 14, 2022 | Noroeste 2-1 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Noroeste 2-1 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Comercial 0-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Noroeste 2-3 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Comercial vs Noroeste on Jul 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Comercial | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy