Noroeste vs EC Lemense: result 1-0 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 8Kick-off on February 8, 2023 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs EC Lemense?
Noroeste won 1-0 on February 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′ThiagoNoroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; EC Lemense have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Linense(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Taubaté(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Primavera SP(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Juventus(home) | 0-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Velo Clube(away) | 2-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Portuguesa Santista(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Comercial(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Rio Claro(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Novorizontino(home) | 3-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Linense(away) | 2-3 | Paulista - A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; EC Lemense score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| EC Lemense | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy