Noroeste vs Monte Azul: result 3-1 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 10Kick-off on August 16, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Monte Azul?
Noroeste won 3-1 on August 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 20′544683Noroeste
- 24′Caio ManchaNoroeste
- 32′Rian FelipeMonte Azul
- 71′Wendel LessaNoroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Monte Azul have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Linense(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 1, 2025 | AEA(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Grêmio Prudente(away) | 0-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Monte Azul(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Linense(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Linense(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Itabirito(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 23, 2025 | AEA(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Grêmio Prudente(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Noroeste win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Monte Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2025 | Monte Azul 1-0 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Monte Azul 1-1 Noroeste | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Noroeste 1-3 Monte Azul | Paulista - A2 |
Last archived meeting: Monte Azul vs Noroeste on Jul 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Monte Azul score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Monte Azul | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy