Noroeste vs Nacional SP: result 0-1 and analysis
Paulista - A3Quarter-finalsKick-off on May 31, 2021 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
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What was the result of Noroeste vs Nacional SP?
Nacional SP won 0-1 on May 31, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 90′Guilherme LoboNacional SP
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Nacional SP have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2021 | Nacional SP(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 25, 2021 | Rio Preto(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 22, 2021 | Marília(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 20, 2021 | Batatais(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 17, 2021 | Linense(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2021 | Noroeste(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 25, 2021 | Bandeirante SP(home) | 4-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 22, 2021 | Primavera SP(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 20, 2021 | São José EC(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 17, 2021 | Capivariano(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Noroeste win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nacional SP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2021 | Nacional SP 2-0 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| May 12, 2021 | Nacional SP 1-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Noroeste 1-1 Nacional SP | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Nacional SP 0-0 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Noroeste 2-0 Nacional SP | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Nacional SP vs Noroeste on May 28, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional SP score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional SP | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy