Noroeste vs São Caetano: result 2-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 10Kick-off on February 15, 2023 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs São Caetano?
Noroeste won 2-1 on February 15, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 66′Vinicius BalaNoroeste
- 85′Anderson MagrãoSão Caetano
- 90′LelecoNoroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; São Caetano have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | Comercial(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | EC Lemense(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Linense(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Taubaté(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Primavera SP(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | EC Lemense(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Velo Clube(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Monte Azul(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Juventus(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; São Caetano score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| São Caetano | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy