North Carolina vs Indy Eleven: result 4-2 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 18, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, North Carolina
Full time
What was the result of North Carolina vs Indy Eleven?
North Carolina won 4-2 on July 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 20′Rafael MentzingenNorth Carolina
- 43′J. MurphyIndy Eleven
- 48′J. ServaniaNorth Carolina
- 55′E. ConwayNorth Carolina
- 73′Pedro BeckerNorth Carolina
- 90′J. BlakeIndy Eleven (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Carolina have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Indy Eleven have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2025 | Birmingham Legion(home) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Charleston Battery(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Louisville City(away) | 0-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Louisville City(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Rhode Island(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | Rhode Island(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Monterey Bay(home) | 3-0 | USL Championship |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Birmingham Legion(home) | 1-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Las Vegas Lights(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 North Carolina win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Indy Eleven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Indy Eleven 2-2 North Carolina | USL Championship |
| Sep 21, 2024 | North Carolina 2-0 Indy Eleven | USL Championship |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Indy Eleven 2-1 North Carolina | USL Championship |
| Aug 3, 2019 | North Carolina 1-2 Indy Eleven | USL Championship |
| May 4, 2019 | Indy Eleven 0-0 North Carolina | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2018 | Indy Eleven 3-2 North Carolina | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Indy Eleven vs North Carolina on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
North Carolina score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Indy Eleven score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Indy Eleven | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 13, 2025Sacramento Republic3-0El Paso Locomotive
- Jul 13, 2025Pittsburgh Riverhounds2-2Loudoun United
- Jul 16, 2025Hartford Athletic0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Jul 17, 2025FC Tulsa2-1Monterey Bay
- Jul 18, 2025Detroit City0-0Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Jul 19, 2025Rhode Island0-0Hartford Athletic
- Jul 19, 2025Loudoun United0-2Oakland Roots
- Jul 19, 2025Charleston Battery3-0Miami FC