North Carolina vs Louisville City: result 0-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 2Kick-off on March 7, 2020 at 07:30 PM (UTC)WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, North Carolina
Full time
What was the result of North Carolina vs Louisville City?
Louisville City won 0-1 on March 7, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 63′C. LancasterLouisville City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Carolina have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Louisville City have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 23, 2019 | Birmingham Legion(home) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Saint Louis(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Nashville(away) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
| Oct 5, 2019 | New York RB II(home) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | Forward Madison(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Real Monarchs(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Union Omaha(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 17, 2020 | Colorado Springs(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 18, 2019 | Real Monarchs(home) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 North Carolina win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Louisville City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2019 | Louisville City 1-0 North Carolina | USL Championship |
| Mar 9, 2019 | North Carolina 4-1 Louisville City | USL Championship |
| Oct 9, 2018 | Louisville City 2-1 North Carolina | USL Championship |
| Jun 23, 2018 | North Carolina 2-2 Louisville City | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Louisville City vs North Carolina on Aug 24, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
North Carolina score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Louisville City score 2.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Louisville City | 2.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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