North Carolina vs Miami FC: result 1-0 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 26, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, North Carolina
Full time
What was the result of North Carolina vs Miami FC?
North Carolina won 1-0 on September 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′E. ConwayNorth Carolina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Carolina have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Miami FC have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | El Paso Locomotive(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Lexington(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2025 | Rhode Island(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Loudoun United(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Indy Eleven(away) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 North Carolina win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Miami FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Miami FC 2-1 North Carolina | USL Championship |
| Jul 6, 2024 | North Carolina 4-1 Miami FC | USL Championship |
| May 25, 2024 | Miami FC 0-4 North Carolina | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Miami FC vs North Carolina on Apr 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
North Carolina score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Miami FC score 0.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Miami FC | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Miami FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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