North Geelong Warriors vs Avondale: result 1-4 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 4Kick-off on March 11, 2023 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Elcho Park, Lara
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What was the result of North Geelong Warriors vs Avondale?
Avondale won 1-4 on March 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′Kristian Steve TrajceskiAvondale
- 32′Stefan Marc ZinniAvondale
- 54′N. JurkovicNorth Geelong Warriors
- 82′Gavin Rory De NieseAvondale
- 90′Kristian Steve TrajceskiAvondale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Geelong Warriors have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Avondale have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Altona Magic(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Port Melbourne(home) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Bentleigh Greens(away) | 3-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Moreland City(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Bulleen Lions(home) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Hume City(home) | 3-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Altona Magic(home) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Port Melbourne(away) | 2-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 21, 2022 | South Melbourne(home) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-2 | Australia Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
North Geelong Warriors score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avondale score 2.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Geelong Warriors | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Avondale | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avondale | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 63 | 34 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy