North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance: result 4-1 and analysis
MLS Next ProConference - Semi-finalsKick-off on October 27, 2024 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Full time
What was the result of North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance?
North Texas won 4-1 on October 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 18′C. AquinoTacoma Defiance
- 20′PedrinhoNorth Texas
- 48′L. FarringtonNorth Texas
- 66′C. SaintéNorth Texas
- 77′A. RamirezNorth Texas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Texas have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tacoma Defiance have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps II(home) | 3-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Minnesota United II(home) | 8-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sporting KC II(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Austin II(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Ventura County(away) | 3-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2024 | Ventura County(home) | 4-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 6, 2024 | St. Louis City II(away) | 0-5 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Houston Dynamo FC II(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps II(away) | 1-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Real Monarchs(home) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 North Texas win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Tacoma Defiance win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | North Texas 2-1 Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 20, 2023 | North Texas 2-2 Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 10, 2023 | Tacoma Defiance 3-0 North Texas | MLS Next Pro |
| May 8, 2022 | North Texas 1-1 Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Tacoma Defiance 1-1 North Texas | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: North Texas vs Tacoma Defiance on Apr 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
North Texas score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tacoma Defiance score 2.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tacoma Defiance | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
North Texas sit 9th in MLS Next Pro (33 points from 23 matches) and Tacoma Defiance sit 7th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 4 | North Texas | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 9 | North Texas | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | North Texas | 21 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 33 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy