Northwich Victoria vs Hampton & Richmond: result 4-1 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd RoundKick-off on February 14, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)U-Lock It Stadium, Northwich, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Northwich Victoria vs Hampton & Richmond?
Northwich Victoria won 4-1 on February 14, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 13′Nathan WoolfeNorthwich Victoria
- 37′Nathan WoolfeNorthwich Victoria
- 53′Wayne RileyNorthwich Victoria
- 57′David TarpeyHampton & Richmond
- 69′K. ArmstrongNorthwich Victoria (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Northwich Victoria have 6 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Hampton & Richmond have 3, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | Staines Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 28, 2011 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 5-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Buxton(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2012 | East Thurrock United(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 14, 2012 | East Thurrock United(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Hayes & Yeading United(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Canvey Island(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Arlesey Town(away) | 2-6 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Northwich Victoria score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 8; Hampton & Richmond score 2.6 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwich Victoria | 2.5 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Hampton & Richmond | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy