Notch vs PVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Ronnie Brunswijkstadion, Moengo
The Footlab AI model makes PVV the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Notch. The most likely score is 1-1. If PVV wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notch vs PVV?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Notch (1,564) and PVV (1,641).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notch vs PVV
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notch
Not enough data to predict the Notch lineup.
PVV
Not enough data to predict the PVV lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notch have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; PVV have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inter Moengotapoe(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 26, 2026 | FC Inter Wanica(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Broki(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Transvaal(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Leo Victor(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leo Victor(away) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Flora(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jun 15, 2025 | FC Inter Wanica(away) | 4-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| May 30, 2025 | Inter Moengotapoe(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| May 18, 2025 | Broki(home) | 4-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Notch wins, 2 draws, 0 PVV wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | PVV 1-2 Notch | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Notch 1-1 PVV | Eerste Divisie |
| May 26, 2024 | PVV 1-2 Notch | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Notch 0-0 PVV | Eerste Divisie |
| May 28, 2023 | PVV 1-4 Notch | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Notch 1-0 PVV | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Notch score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; PVV score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notch | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| PVV | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Notch | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 34 | 25 |
A question about Notch vs PVV?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notch vs PVV?
- The Footlab AI model makes PVV the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Notch.
- Where and when is Notch vs PVV played?
- Notch vs PVV is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Ronnie Brunswijkstadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.