Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 22, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest U21 the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Aston Villa U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Nottingham Forest U21 starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest U21 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Aston Villa U21 have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luton Town U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| May 11, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | Professional Development League |
| May 4, 2026 | Peterborough United U21(away) | 1-0 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Charlton Athletic U21(home) | 3-2 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Southampton U21(away) | 3-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Nottingham Forest U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aston Villa U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Nottingham Forest U21 2-3 Aston Villa U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Nottingham Forest U21 3-0 Aston Villa U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Nottingham Forest U21 4-3 Aston Villa U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Aston Villa U21 1-1 Nottingham Forest U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21 on Sep 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest U21 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Aston Villa U21 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
- The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest U21 the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Aston Villa U21.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21 played?
- Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21 is played on March 22, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21