Nova Iguaçu vs Água Santa: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 2Kick-off on April 26, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Jânio de Moraes, Nova Iguaçu, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Nova Iguaçu vs Água Santa?
Água Santa won 1-2 on April 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′Vini CharopemNova Iguaçu
- 41′Daniel BahiaÁgua Santa
- 84′JonatasÁgua Santa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nova Iguaçu have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Água Santa have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Porto Vitória(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Madureira(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 1 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Madureira(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Barcelona RO(away) | 4-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Pouso Alegre(home) | 2-3 | Serie D |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Velo Clube(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Inter De Limeira(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Santos(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Portuguesa(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nova Iguaçu score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Água Santa score 0.9 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Iguaçu | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Água Santa | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nova Iguaçu sit 5th in Serie D (12 points from 10 matches) and Água Santa sit 2nd (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Água Santa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Nova Iguaçu | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy