Novi Pazar vs FK Crvena Zvezda: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Caizcoin Arena, Novi Pazar
The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Novi Pazar. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
FK Crvena Zvezda is a heavy favourite: 2,048 Elo points against 1,697, a 351-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novi Pazar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; FK Crvena Zvezda have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Novi Pazar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FK Crvena Zvezda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda 1-2 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Novi Pazar 0-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Cup |
| Feb 7, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda 5-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Novi Pazar 1-5 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Novi Pazar 3-3 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novi Pazar sit 9th in Super Liga (7 points from 6 matches) and FK Crvena Zvezda sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novi Pazar vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
- The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Novi Pazar.
- Where and when is Novi Pazar vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?
- Novi Pazar vs FK Crvena Zvezda is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Caizcoin Arena, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.