Novohrad Lučenec vs Baník Kalinovo: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Lučenec
The Footlab model makes Novohrad Lučenec the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Baník Kalinovo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novohrad Lučenec vs Baník Kalinovo?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Novohrad Lučenec (1,509) and Baník Kalinovo (1,440).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novohrad Lučenec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Baník Kalinovo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Čadca(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 23, 2026 | Námestovo(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fiľakovo(home) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brezno(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(away) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dolný Kubín(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Novohrad Lučenec win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Baník Kalinovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Baník Kalinovo 0-1 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Novohrad Lučenec 2-1 Baník Kalinovo | 3. liga - Center |
| May 10, 2025 | Novohrad Lučenec 0-0 Baník Kalinovo | 3. liga - East |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Baník Kalinovo 1-0 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - East |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Novohrad Lučenec 3-0 Baník Kalinovo | 3. liga - East |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Baník Kalinovo 1-2 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Baník Kalinovo vs Novohrad Lučenec on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novohrad Lučenec score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Kalinovo score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novohrad Lučenec | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Baník Kalinovo | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novohrad Lučenec sit 4th in 3. liga - Center (43 points from 26 matches) and Baník Kalinovo sit 10th (30 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novohrad Lučenec | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 43 |
| 10 | Baník Kalinovo | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 43 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novohrad Lučenec vs Baník Kalinovo?
- The Footlab model makes Novohrad Lučenec the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Baník Kalinovo.
- Where and when is Novohrad Lučenec vs Baník Kalinovo played?
- Novohrad Lučenec vs Baník Kalinovo is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.